Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1.579280 1.824591 2.090031 2.397918 2.744502 3.121863 3.563088
2024-10-20 1.141656 1.466065 1.849227 2.332115 2.921099 3.612607 4.482079
2024-10-27 0.893670 1.260795 1.729040 2.362664 3.189230 4.221566 5.597676
2024-11-03 0.717903 1.102890 1.628830 2.386301 3.433168 4.810661 6.738158
2024-11-10 0.582257 0.967942 1.529015 2.383649 3.626614 5.338052 7.834632
2024-11-17 0.470732 0.843584 1.419036 2.342220 3.748778 5.766072 8.819670
2024-11-24 0.382629 0.736914 1.315257 2.289112 3.837752 6.142706 9.749732
2024-12-01 0.325588 0.669938 1.261450 2.301632 4.019538 6.660653 10.914520
2024-12-08 0.274369 0.602647 1.195342 2.282124 4.142895 7.092456 11.972828
2024-12-15 0.243822 0.567835 1.179263 2.342278 4.396835 7.740255 13.400860
2024-12-22 0.211290 0.522459 1.136563 2.348417 4.556733 8.244465 14.629737
2024-12-29 0.195065 0.507931 1.149508 2.455582 4.898322 9.066171 16.417897
2025-01-05 0.175742 0.484107 1.143146 2.530094 5.196537 9.850051 18.219137
2025-01-12 0.149881 0.439893 1.088973 2.505984 5.313499 10.334807 19.556070
2025-01-19 0.133903 0.416176 1.074558 2.559291 5.579688 11.098219 21.417483
2025-01-26 0.118698 0.390951 1.052791 2.594181 5.812367 11.816119 23.241678
2025-02-02 0.103474 0.361965 1.017671 2.595664 5.977774 12.420507 24.898031
2025-02-09 0.088023 0.328295 0.965712 2.552985 6.048322 12.850887 26.262619
2025-02-16 0.074273 0.295863 0.911090 2.496600 6.083461 13.213576 27.520126
2025-02-23 0.065580 0.277003 0.888014 2.510493 6.267554 13.873126 29.364440
2025-03-02 0.056713 0.254950 0.852535 2.489631 6.373004 14.382624 30.949245
2025-03-09 0.051989 0.246130 0.852019 2.554587 6.672780 15.295436 33.350639
2025-03-16 0.045944 0.230598 0.829681 2.561243 6.840487 15.949223 35.279866